Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 12.493207 14.321506 16.272845 18.504735 20.980921 23.637967 26.698607
2025-11-09 9.633905 12.038103 14.781216 18.120760 22.053399 26.513606 31.929723
2025-11-16 7.879564 10.533185 13.720820 17.788093 22.792084 28.697761 36.140631
2025-11-23 6.517464 9.251129 12.686810 17.251439 23.078997 30.187751 39.423341
2025-11-30 5.716595 8.550901 12.254958 17.348008 24.054346 32.460859 43.655881
2025-12-07 5.057136 7.944074 11.855731 17.405090 24.918103 34.566132 47.696511
2025-12-14 4.550536 7.481750 11.588017 17.581586 25.901043 36.816562 51.958594
2025-12-21 4.075346 7.005630 11.245208 17.603888 26.640634 38.737713 55.818827
2025-12-28 3.787937 6.775927 11.224367 18.056980 27.967542 41.464973 60.813288
2026-01-04 3.497195 6.506860 11.114966 18.358076 29.072103 43.905344 65.474442
2026-01-11 3.183693 6.165889 10.863199 18.418890 29.814487 45.847946 69.489691
2026-01-18 2.789812 5.647178 10.289430 17.945055 29.733782 46.606768 71.854813
2026-01-25 2.464304 5.214294 9.821718 17.608201 29.843088 47.646103 74.663466
2026-02-01 2.171073 4.805236 9.357353 17.239896 29.874488 48.557880 77.301213
2026-02-08 1.921263 4.446356 8.944739 16.920542 29.951505 49.519805 80.017080
2026-02-15 1.670182 4.053506 8.437827 16.405447 29.682864 49.938274 81.925911
2026-02-22 1.535838 3.877199 8.299315 16.498127 30.379859 51.825847 86.050846
2026-03-01 1.409415 3.701865 8.146924 16.552913 31.009088 53.618542 90.069164
2026-03-08 1.309325 3.570622 8.064999 16.722317 31.826920 55.718740 94.596927
2026-03-15 1.200785 3.407194 7.907521 16.743724 32.391201 57.429721 98.562561
2026-03-22 1.147225 3.362638 7.977326 17.178671 33.667488 60.296214 104.371690
2026-03-29 1.082023 3.282865 7.970021 17.467755 34.699420 62.794331 109.658988
2026-04-05 0.999341 3.150384 7.844775 17.526147 35.328221 64.653410 113.980414